Jamiesfeast – If Donald Trump doesn’t alter the direction of his campaign, the difference in voter support between genders will be so vast that it will resemble a monumental gap by the time November comes around. Women, in large numbers, will be fleeing from the presumptive nominee, ultimately benefiting Joe Biden and securing him a second term.
According to the latest Quinnipiac poll, there has been a significant increase in support for Biden among female registered voters. The poll reveals that 58 percent of women now back Biden, marking a five-point surge in just one month. This boost in support has helped Biden secure a six-point lead over Trump in a hypothetical 2024 presidential matchup. It is worth noting that in December 2023, Biden’s support among women stood at 53 percent, indicating a clear upward trend in his popularity.
So, what exactly caused the shift between December and January?
In this sudden shift, it is reasonable to believe that three women have played a significant role: Nikki Haley, E. Jean Carroll, and Taylor Swift.
Haley stepped into the limelight in January, shedding her inhibitions shortly after her defeat in the New Hampshire primary on Jan. 23. This poll commenced merely two days later.
Nearly half of Haley’s Iowa supporters have expressed their preference to vote for Biden over Trump, regardless of whether it’s due to sexism or another reason. This indicates that Trump’s actions have not only radicalized young progressive feminists but also estranged a significant portion of Republicans, including women who would otherwise be open to voting for a GOP candidate.
Nikki Haley, a Republican presidential candidate, addressed a crowd during a campaign rally held at the Doc’s Barbeque and Southern Buffet restaurant in Columbia, South Carolina.
According to Juliana Bergeron, a Republican National Committee member from New Hampshire, she believes that the candidate will not be able to attract swing women voters. In addition, she suggests that there may be Republican women voters who will also be deterred by his comments. Bergeron speculates that if the election is close, these remarks could potentially influence the outcome.
During the time the Quinnipiac survey was being conducted, another significant event unfolded. A jury ruled in favor of Carroll, granting her an extra $83.3 million in a defamation lawsuit. The jury concluded that Trump had defamed Carroll when he labeled her as a liar after being held accountable for sexual assault.
Pop superstar Taylor Swift, who is widely considered one of the most popular figures in America, is now facing accusations from Trump supporters. They claim that she is involved in a “Deep State” conspiracy to help elect Biden. In fact, some Trump allies have even gone as far as promising a “Holy War” against her.
Opting to criticize Swift was definitely not a wise move. However, it’s the sort of risk one takes when selecting Trump as the leader of their political party.
E. Jean Carroll enters the Manhattan Federal Court in New York City to attend her civil defamation trial against former President Donald Trump.
However, can the results of this latest survey be influenced by choosing a formidable adversary?
The Swift paranoia reached its peak when the Kansas City Chiefs, her boyfriend’s team, emerged victorious against the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC Championship game on January 28. It is worth noting that this survey was conducted from January 25 to 29.
The timeframe indicates that this subject mattered greatly, but only to a minority of those surveyed. This implies that the gender gap could potentially be even more significant than what the poll reveals. Additionally, Swift’s influence extends to mobilizing and engaging new voters, who were not included in the Quinnipiac survey of registered voters.
It’s important to note that this is just one poll, so we shouldn’t jump to conclusions. However, given the close margins of the previous election, where Biden won by less than 45,000 votes in three states, Trump’s disconnect with women could potentially make or break his chances of winning in the future.
The number of women backing Biden at present (58 percent) is just a bit higher than the number of women who supported his 2020 triumph (57 percent).
Women make up a majority of the U.S. population, which is a fact often overlooked by political strategists who focus on micro-demographic targeting. While they delve into the preferences and opinions of specific groups, such as Hispanic men in Beaumont who watch Japanese anime, the sheer number and influence of women should not be underestimated.
Moreover, they are even more likely to participate in a presidential election, statistically speaking.
According to Tim Malloy, a Polling Analyst at Quinnipiac University, the gender demographic is an important factor to consider. Recently, female voters have played a crucial role in shifting the head-to-head tie between Biden and Trump into a modest lead for Biden.
The gender gap in politics has been a persistent issue for a long time, and it is now a global phenomenon. Donald Trump has consistently risked alienating women voters with his controversial actions and statements. These include the infamous “Access Hollywood” video, his sexist attacks on Hillary Clinton and former Fox News host Megyn Kelly, and his stance on the Dobbs abortion ruling.
All of these examples, however, existed long before the polling shift that occurred in January.
In January, it became evident that Donald Trump was likely to secure the Republican nomination, alongside the growing influence of Haley, Carroll, and Swift.
Has the reality finally dawned on ordinary voters?
For those of us who closely follow politics, it comes as no surprise that Trump is now the presumptive nominee. However, it’s important to note that political enthusiasts like us are not your average individuals.